Understanding and Forecasting of Monsoons
Contents: Foreword/Sri Woro B. Harijono. Preface/P.N. Vinayachandran. About this volume/S.M. Kulshrestha. Introduction/A.P. Kulshreshtha. 1. Short and long range forecasting in India/S.R. Kalsi. 2. Medium and extended range forecasting of Indian Monsoon/A.K. Bohra, G. Iyengar, E.N. Rajagopal, M. Dasgupta, R. Ashrit, S. Basu and A.K. Mitra. 3. Prediction of local rainfall from GCM output using projection pursuit technique/A.H. Wigena, Aunuddin and Rizaldi Boer. 4. Long-range, high-resolution forecast of monsoon rainfall/P. Goswami, G.K. Patra, K.C. Gouda and V.S. Prakash. 5. An overview of advanced instrumentation and network: present status and future modernisation plan of the national meteorological service of India/S.K. Banerjee. 6. Data assimilation at NCMRWF: case study of recent Monsoon System/M. Das Gupta, John P. George and R. Ashrit. 7. Development of statistical-dynamical models at NCMRWF for predicting location specific weather during monsoon/P. Maini and Ashok Kumar. 8. A tropical mid-range forecast model based on the single value decomposition of the Madden-Julian Oscillation/Chien Wan Tham. 9. Association between Indonesian Rainfall and the Indian Ocean Dipole/P.N. Vinayachandran and Ravi S. Nanjundiah. 10. Decadal to inter decadal time scale climate variability: in context of Asian/Indian Monsoon System/R.K. Tiwari and S. Sri Lakshmi. 11. Influence of Eurasian and Tibetan Snow on Indian Summer Monsoon/S.K. Dash, P. Parth Sarthi and M.S. Shekhar. 12. Influence of Enso on the Southwest Monsoon Rainfall over Pakistan: a review/Tariq Masood Ali Khan, Arif Mahmood, M.M. Rabbani, S. Moazzam Ali and Nadeem Faisal. 13. The monsoonal climate profile of Sri Lanka/Chandima Gomes. 14. Impact of Monsoons to Tanzania/E. Matari. 15. Prediction of extreme weather and climate in the Indonesian Maritime continent based on sunspot numbers/The Houw Liong and Plato Martuani Siregar. 16. Characteristics of Indian Summer Monsoon in the warming scenario/S.K. Patwardhan, K. Krishna Kumar, K. Kamala, Preethi Bhaskar, J.V. Revadekar and K. Rupa Kumar.
"This publication presents a collection of 16 selected research/review papers on various aspects of monsoons those were discussed during the international roundtable on \'Understanding and Prediction of Summer and Winter Monsoons\' held at Jakarta/Bandung, Indonesia during 21-24 November, 2005.
Monsoons modulate the rhythm of life in several countries. The amount of rain received during monsoons critically controls the way of life, culture and economy. The word \'Monsoon\' indicates a rainy season but the domain of monsoon encompasses seasonal changes in prevailing surface wind direction especially between summer and winter. The ability to anticipate how monsoon, and the resultant climate, will behave from one year to the next will lead to better management of agriculture, water supplies, fisheries and other resources. Prediction of monsoon however is one of the major challenges of climate research as it is an extremely complex phenomenon involving variabilities over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales.
The topics covered in this volume include observed aspects of monsoons in several countries, analyses of model simulations and forecasts, survey of instrumentation and analysis techniques and projections of monsoon in the future climate. Hence, the publication is undoubtedly, a useful reference material for the meteorologists and experts working in the area of monsoon prediction and will help the developing countries in working out appropriate plans and programmes on understanding and prediction of monsoons." (jacket)
